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2024 USA election

2024 results open_in_new

Harris open_in_new vs Trump open_in_new on Tuesday, November 5, 2024

See an extremely detailed map of the 2024 election open_in_new

Vice presidential picks
- Harris: Tim Walz open_in_new
- Trump: JD Vance open_in_new
2024 primary results open_in_new

Polls

538 open_in_new

RealClear Polling open_in_new

Note: The 538 links seem to have stopped working.

Swing states

Pennsylvania: 538 open_in_new RealClear open_in_new
Wisconsin: 538 open_in_new RealClear open_in_new
Arizona: 538 open_in_new RealClear open_in_new
Georgia: 538 open_in_new RealClear open_in_new
Michigan: 538 open_in_new RealClear open_in_new
Nevada: 538 open_in_new RealClear open_in_new
North Carolina: 538 open_in_new RealClear open_in_new

Prediction

The Keys to the White House open_in_new

After all 13 keys are either True or False, then 5 or fewer false keys predicts Harris' win (6 or more predicts Trump's). Presented by Allan Lichtman.

Supreme Court

Matters that impact the election and its implications.

Presidential immunity ruling

Divided SCOTUS held official Presidential immunity

Roberts, C. J., delivered the opinion of the Court, in which Thomas, Alito, Gorsuch, and Kavanaugh, JJ., joined in full, and in which Barrett, J., joined except as to Part III-C. Thomas, J., filed a concurring opinion. Barrett, J., filed an opinion concurring in part. Sotomayor, J., filed a dissenting opinion, in which Kagan and Jackson, JJ., joined. Jackson, J., filed a dissenting opinion.

TRUMP v. U.S., No. 23-939 open_in_new

Individual parts:

Syllabus open_in_new

Holding excerpt:"Under our constitutional structure of separated powers, the nature of Presidential power entitles a former President to absolute immunity from criminal prosecution for actions within his conclusive and preclusive constitutional authority. And he is entitled to at least presumptive immunity from prosecution for all his official acts. There is no immunity for unofficial acts."

Opinion of the Court open_in_new
THOMAS, J., concurring open_in_new
BARRETT, J., concurring in part open_in_new
SOTOMAYOR, J., dissenting open_in_new with whom JUSTICE KAGAN & JUSTICE JACKSON join.

Excerpts:"The President of the United States is the most powerful person in the country, and possibly the world. When he uses his official powers in any way, under the majority’s reasoning, he now will be insulated from criminal prosecution. Orders the Navy’s Seal Team 6 to assassinate a political rival? Immune. Organizes a military coup to hold onto power? Immune. Takes a bribe in exchange for a pardon? Immune. Immune, immune, immune.Let the President violate the law, let him exploit the trappings of his office for personal gain, let him use his official power for evil ends. Because if he knew that he may one day face liability for breaking the law, he might not be as bold and fearless as we would like him to be. That is the majority’s message today.Even if these nightmare scenarios never play out, and I pray they never do, the damage has been done. The relationship between the President and the people he serves has shifted irrevocably. In every use of official power, the President is now a king above the law.""Never in the history of our Republic has a President had reason to believe that he would be immune from criminal prosecution if he used the trappings of his office to violate the criminal law. Moving forward, however, all former Presidents will be cloaked in such immunity. If the occupant of that office misuses official power for personal gain, the criminal law that the rest of us must abide will not provide a backstop.With fear for our democracy, I dissent."

JACKSON, J., dissenting open_in_new

Full case docket open_in_new

2024 USA election

Polls

Prediction

Supreme Court

Divided SCOTUS held official Presidential immunity

Debate

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